The Uncapped University: Market Rate Projections

Published on February 15, 2026 • Built with HTML, Chart.js

The "True Market" Price

If the government cap were removed, fees would likely diverge based on reputation and demand. Estimates below use "International Fees" (unregulated) and "Cost of Delivery" as proxies for market value.

The Great Divergence

Comparing the current capped fee against the "Break-Even" cost and the "Market Rate" (International Fee).

The "Elite" Premium
Top institutions like Oxford, Cambridge, and Imperial could command fees 3x higher than the current cap. Their "market rate" is driven by global brand power, not just teaching costs.
The "Deficit" Reality
Even mid-tier Russell Group universities lose money on domestic students. The "Break-Even" fee (to cover actual teaching/research costs) is approx £13,500—significantly above the current cap.
Global Elite
(Oxbridge, Imperial, LSE)
£33,000+
Estimated Market Rate

Based on average international fees for lab/classroom blend. Pure science courses can reach £45k.

Russell Group
(Manchester, Bristol, Leeds)
£24,500
Estimated Market Rate

High demand allows for significant pricing power. International fees standardise around this band.

Modern / Post-92
(Teesside, Coventry, UWE)
£14,500
Estimated Market Rate

Closer to the actual "cost of delivery". While fees are lower, they are still above the current domestic cap.

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